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ChartsYES/NO MarketThursday, December 25, 2025

Mariah Carey Christmas #1

Will 'All I Want for Christmas Is You' hit #1 on Billboard Hot 100 by Dec 25?

Event Date
Thursday, December 25, 2025
Event Time
00:00 UTC
Betting Closes
23:59 UTC
Outcomes
2 options

About This Event

Every year, Mariah Carey's holiday classic surges up the charts. Will it claim the #1 spot on Billboard Hot 100 before Christmas Day 2025?

Annual tradition - the song has hit #1 multiple times since 2019. Streaming era makes holiday surges predictable yet exciting.

Bet Options

YES

Mariah hits #1 before December 25

YES
NO

Song does not reach #1 by Christmas

NO

Key Statistics

  • Hit #1 in 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024
  • 25+ year old song still dominates charts
  • Mariah earns ~$3M annually from the song

Resolution Details

Betting Closes
Mon, Dec 22, 2025 at 23:59 UTC
48+ hour buffer before event
Resolution Source
Billboard Hot 100
https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/